ACC analysis

[SteelBowl70]

Miami continues to get all the officiating breaks and has the most favorable schedule. If they are unbeaten going into the ACC championship, they are in the playoffs.

ND is likely to be the worst playoff team unless Army or Navy beats them or maybe a mediocre USC squad

Clemson keeps rolling but UVA showed today that they won’t be an easy win for Pitt. Not sure a 2 loss Clemson makes it unless the 2nd loss is to an undefeated Miami in a close ACC title matchup.

Of the 4 undefeated in ACC play teams:
Miami plays none of the other 3
Clemson plays at Pitt
SMU hosts Pitt
And Pitt has both SMU and Clemson

Of the 3 one loss teams
Duke hosts SMU and visits Miami
Syracuse visits Pitt and hosts Miami
VT hosts Clemson and visits Cuse and Duke

It seems pretty clear 2 of these 7 teams will play for the ACC championship

 

[Zeldas Open Roof]

outside of any major upsets, a Miami vs Clemson ACC championship game will most likely be two top 6 ranked teams. That's a great sign for the ACC, to have not one but 2 teams that highly ranked, playing for the championship game..

As long as Clemson doesnt screw up, they could conceivably make the playoffs even if they lose to Miami..

 

[pittbb80]

Miamis offense is legit but their defense is awful. They could lose to GT if they get their qb back or the cuse. Both are away games

sMUs toughest game left is Pitt. If they beat Pitt they’ll likely be one of the teams in the mix

ND is a fraud. Their offense is awful. I see them losing one more game

 

[pittbb80]

outside of any major upsets, a Miami vs Clemson ACC championship game will most likely be two top 6 ranked teams. That's a great sign for the ACC, to have not one but 2 teams that highly ranked, playing for the championship game..

As long as Clemson doesnt screw up, they could conceivably make the playoffs even if they lose to Miami..

I like Pitt upsetting Clemson and Miami could lose to either GT (if King is healthy) or the Cuse. Both are away games

Should be really interesting down the stretch

 

[cashisking884]

GT and Cuse just don’t have enough defense to stay with Miami.

Neither has a Top 60 defense according to SP+ updated rankings this morning.

Miami will name its score. While GT and Cuse will score on them, they won’t be able to name their score.

 

[PittMan 72]

Miamis offense is legit but their defense is awful. They could lose to GT if they get their qb back or the cuse. Both are away games

sMUs toughest game left is Pitt. If they beat Pitt they’ll likely be one of the teams in the mix

ND is a fraud. Their offense is awful. I see them losing one more game

Yeah, some crazy stuff in the ACC this year. The additional teams added has created some very unbalanced scheduling. So it seems things are still pretty wide open so far as to the conference standings.

Pitt has won some close ones, no doubt. If Pitt can keep winning, expect there will be more nailbiters, too.

But Miami? They have been EXTREMELY fortunate. The VT close call on the review and overturn. ‘Canes won by 4.

The Cal game comeback They won by a point.

Then yesterday that shootout @ Louisville. And the U doesn’t have to play either Clemson or SMU in the regular season. (Also, Clemson doesn’t play Miami or SMU). Hard to predict what could happen.

 

[Zeldas Open Roof]

obviously im rooting for pitt to win out but if they dont, two top 10 teams in miami and clemson is a great alternative..

If SMU is in the acc championship, that means alot of things went wrong and wouldnt be a good look for the ACC, at all.

 

[cashisking884]

obviously im rooting for pitt to win out but if they dont, two top 10 teams in miami and clemson is a great alternative..

If SMU is in the acc championship, that means alot of things went wrong and wouldnt be a good look for the ACC, at all.

If SMU wins out, there’s a good chance they are top 10 as well.

I think the ACC championship is a battle of top 10 teams either way. Ideally it’s Miami vs somebody else with Miami losing. That way it’s a lock both teams get in. I’m not 100% sure Clemson or SMU can take a loss and still get in.

 

[Joe the Panther Fan]

obviously im rooting for pitt to win out but if they dont, two top 10 teams in miami and clemson is a great alternative..

If SMU is in the acc championship, that means alot of things went wrong and wouldnt be a good look for the ACC, at all.

If SMU wins out, and they might be favored in all the rest of their games, they could be in the ACC championship game no matter what else happens, right or wrong.

 

[pittbb80]

obviously im rooting for pitt to win out but if they dont, two top 10 teams in miami and clemson is a great alternative..

If SMU is in the acc championship, that means alot of things went wrong and wouldnt be a good look for the ACC, at all.

It’s the product of an unbalanced schedule. They don’t play Miami or Clemson. Aside from Pitt they have the easiest path

Will be interesting how they pick the two teams if SMU Clemson and Miami all finish undefeated in conference. Let’s Hope Pitt puts a wrench into that happening

 

[cashisking884]

obviously im rooting for pitt to win out but if they dont, two top 10 teams in miami and clemson is a great alternative..

If SMU is in the acc championship, that means alot of things went wrong and wouldnt be a good look for the ACC, at all.

SMU finished last year as an analytic Top 25 team.

Removing the media from it, which people on the board pretend they want to do, SMU was one of the better teams in the ACC coming into the season.

Why is that a bad look for the ACC?

 

[Joe the Panther Fan]

Will be interesting how they pick the two teams if SMU Clemson and Miami all finish undefeated in conference.

Three or more team ties:

1) If they all played each other, best record against each other
2) If they didn't all play each other but one team beat both of the other two
3) Winning percentage against common opponents (which would all be the same since they would be undefeated)
4) They don't say it this way, but the upshot is go down the standings and compare who did better against common opponents. In other words, did they all play the 4th place team? If so, did they all beat them? But if the teams who are tied are all undefeated then again, this would all be the same
5) Combined winning percentage of conference opponents (this is almost certainly where the tie is going to get broken)
6) The team with the highest ranking by something called the Team Rating Score metric by someone called SportsSource Analytics (no, really, that's on the list)
7) Draw lots

 

[Joe the Panther Fan]

Here's the link