ACC Tournament thoughts

Chairman Moe · Mar 6, 2023

I am not a sports bettor, but here's how I see the week ahead:

Tuesday Games:
FSU over GT
BC over Lou
VT over ND

Wednesday Games:
WF over Syr
Pitt over FSU
BC over UNC
NC St over VT

Thursday Games:
Miami over WF
Dook over Pitt
BC over VA
Clemson over NC St

Semi-Finals:
Dook over Miami
Clemson over BC

FINAL:
Dook over Clemson

NCAA teams from ACC:
Duke
Miami
Clemson
Virginia
NC Stste
Pitt

Joe the Panther Fan · Mar 6, 2023

If Quentin Post can't play, BC is going to have trouble beating Louisville, let alone North Carolina and Virginia.

Duneaux Harm · Mar 6, 2023

Good thing you are not a bettor.

Chairman Moe · Mar 6, 2023

Joe the Panther Fan said:
If Quentin Post can't play, BC is going to have trouble beating Louisville, let alone North Carolina and Virginia.

Indeed. I was choosing BC based on his playing

whirlybird optio · Mar 6, 2023

Chairman Moe said:
I am not a sports bettor, but here's how I see the week ahead:

Tuesday Games:
FSU over GT
BC over Lou
VT over ND

Wednesday Games:
WF over Syr
Pitt over FSU
BC over UNC
NC St over VT

Thursday Games:
Miami over WF
Dook over Pitt
BC over VA
Clemson over NC St

Semi-Finals:
Dook over Miami
Clemson over BC

FINAL:
Dook over Clemson

NCAA teams from ACC:
Duke
Miami
Clemson
Virginia
NC Stste
Pitt

GT over FSU
BC over LVille
VT over ND

Cuse over Wake
Pitt over GT
UNC over BC
NC St over VT

Miami over Cuse
Duke over Pitt
UNC over UVA
Clemson over NC St

Duke over Miami
UNC over Clemson

Duke over UNC

UNC gets in. 6 teams

Chairman Moe · Mar 6, 2023

Duneaux Harm said:
Good thing you are not a bettor.

That's why I said it first! Who do you like?

whirlybird optio said:
GT over FSU
BC over LVille
VT over ND

Cuse over Wake
Pitt over GT
UNC over BC
NC St over VT

Miami over Cuse
Duke over Pitt
UNC over UVA
Clemson over NC St

Duke over Miami
UNC over Clemson

Duke over UNC

UNC gets in. 6 teams

who's the sixth team? Clemson over NC St?

UPitt '89 · Mar 6, 2023

Chairman Moe said:
I am not a sports bettor, but here's how I see the week ahead:

Tuesday Games:
FSU over GT
BC over Lou
VT over ND

Wednesday Games:
WF over Syr
Pitt over FSU
BC over UNC
NC St over VT

Thursday Games:
Miami over WF
Dook over Pitt
BC over VA
Clemson over NC St

Semi-Finals:
Dook over Miami
Clemson over BC

FINAL:
Dook over Clemson

NCAA teams from ACC:
Duke
Miami
Clemson
Virginia
NC Stste
Pitt

Comments:
- GT is playing well now, and FSU has quit on the season. GT wins easily.
- Quentin Post for BC is hurt. They might lose to Louisville. But even if they don't, there is 0% chance they beat UNC without Post. And they most DEFINITELY will not beat UVA without Post.
- Wouldn't suprise me at all if VT beats NCSU.

The Ole Six-Fiver · Mar 6, 2023

No matter what, no matter who, we gotta win that first one.

whirlybird optio · Mar 6, 2023

Chairman Moe said:
That's why I said it first! Who do you like?

who's the sixth team? Clemson over NC St?

NC St gets in over Clemson in a controversial call by the committee, despite the loss

FireballZ · Mar 6, 2023

Here are the ACC Tournament odds. I don't see any betting value here. VT can get hot, but don't see 5 wins in a row.

The only conference tournament bet that catches my eye is Kentucky +480, but I haven't looked into their injury issues. They've had guys in and out a bunch of late.

Duke	+290
UVA	+300
Miami	+340
Clemson	+650
UNC	+650
NC State	+1200
Pitt	+1400
VT	+3000
Wake	+4000
CUSE	+10000
FSU	+15000
BC	+35000
GT	+35000
ND	+50000
Louisville	+100000

UPitt '89 · Mar 6, 2023

FireballZ said:
Here are the ACC Tournament odds. I don't see any betting value here. VT can get hot, but don't see 5 wins in a row.

The only conference tournament bet that catches my eye is Kentucky +480, but I haven't looked into their injury issues. They've had guys in and out a bunch of late.

Duke +290
UVA +300
Miami +340
Clemson +650
UNC +650
NC State +1200
Pitt +1400
VT +3000
Wake +4000
CUSE +10000
FSU +15000
BC +35000
GT +35000
ND +50000
Louisville +100000

Pitt and NCSU are your "value bets". Two desperate teams with chips on their shoulders. I'm going to put $50 on each of them. Wouldn't be surprised at all if the final has BOTH of them. Yeah, you heard me.

FireballZ · Mar 6, 2023

UPitt '89 said:
Pitt and NCSU are your "value bets". Two desperate teams with chips on their shoulders. I'm going to put $50 on each of them. Wouldn't be surprised at all if the final has BOTH of them. Yeah, you heard me.

I definitely foresee Pitt and Miami v3.

NC State has talent and solid guards, for sure, but they are pretty inconsistent. I don't see 4 wins in a row, but their pathway is certainly easier than Pitt's. Terquavion Smith plays too out of control for my taste.

whirlybird optio · Mar 6, 2023

UPitt '89 said:
Pitt and NCSU are your "value bets". Two desperate teams with chips on their shoulders. I'm going to put $50 on each of them. Wouldn't be surprised at all if the final has BOTH of them. Yeah, you heard me.

You’re picking Pitt? Lol. Not surprised.

I don’t see any value in that list. If UNC was a little higher, but at +650 no way.

The thing with these bets is you almost always make more money just betting ML. Like, if you are going to bet Pitt at $50 to win $700 (14-1), you make more money just betting the ML at $50 and then doubling down every round I would bet with only investing 50. 50 would become like 70, which would become like 250 if we beat Duke which would become $500 or so, which becomes well over $1000. I’m probably off on some of these odds but usually it works out this way. The only thing which kills you is if like Miami loses.

Fredact · Mar 6, 2023

FireballZ said:
Here are the ACC Tournament odds. I don't see any betting value here. VT can get hot, but don't see 5 wins in a row.

The only conference tournament bet that catches my eye is Kentucky +480, but I haven't looked into their injury issues. They've had guys in and out a bunch of late.

Duke +290
UVA +300
Miami +340
Clemson +650
UNC +650
NC State +1200
Pitt +1400
VT +3000
Wake +4000
CUSE +10000
FSU +15000
BC +35000
GT +35000
ND +50000
Louisville +100000

Pitt at +30000 has lower odds to win the NCAAT than those bottom four have of winning the ACC.

FireballZ · Mar 6, 2023

Pitt is +3000 to make the Final Four and +15000 to win it all on DK.

Sean Miller Fan · Mar 6, 2023

Chairman Moe said:
I am not a sports bettor, but here's how I see the week ahead:

Tuesday Games:
FSU over GT
BC over Lou
VT over ND

Wednesday Games:
WF over Syr
Pitt over FSU
BC over UNC
NC St over VT

Thursday Games:
Miami over WF
Dook over Pitt
BC over VA
Clemson over NC St

Semi-Finals:
Dook over Miami
Clemson over BC

FINAL:
Dook over Clemson

NCAA teams from ACC:
Duke
Miami
Clemson
Virginia
NC Stste
Pitt

GT big. FSU has quit and GT is playing as well as anyone.

BC with or without Post

VT big. Brey and Hamilton have done 2 of the worst coaching jobs in ACC history.

Wake over Syr
Pitt over Gt
UNC over Bc
VT over NC St

Miami over Wake
Duke ovet Pitt
UNC over UVa
Clemson over VT

Miami over Duke
UNC over Clemson

Miami over UNC

Chairman Moe · Mar 6, 2023

When I posted this I was not aware of Post's re-injury of his ankle; obviously. But since I am not a bettor, it is just an opinion.

@whirlybird optio - the NC State bid, should they lose to Clemson, would be a big surprise

Chairman Moe · Mar 6, 2023

Sean Miller Fan said:
GT big. FSU has quit and GT is playing as well as anyone.

BC with or without Post

VT big. Brey and Hamilton have done 2 of the worst coaching jobs in ACC history.

Wake over Syr
Pitt over Gt
UNC over Bc
VT over NC St

Miami over Wake
Duke ovet Pitt
UNC over UVa
Clemson over VT

Miami over Duke
UNC over Clemson

Miami over UNC

SMF, please bet against Pitt!! When you do, we always seem to win!

TheSpecialSauce · Mar 6, 2023

Sean Miller Fan said:
GT big. FSU has quit and GT is playing as well as anyone.

BC with or without Post

VT big. Brey and Hamilton have done 2 of the worst coaching jobs in ACC history.

Wake over Syr
Pitt over Gt
UNC over Bc
VT over NC St

Miami over Wake
Duke ovet Pitt
UNC over UVa
Clemson over VT

Miami over Duke
UNC over Clemson

Miami over UNC

Bet the house on GT if you are so confident.
GT -120 (ML)

SteelBowl70 · Mar 6, 2023

GT over FSU
BC over LVille
VT over ND

Wake over Cuse
Pitt over GT
UNC over BC
VT over NC State

Miami over Wake
Pitt over Duke
UNC over UVA
Clemson over VT

Miami over Pitt
Clemson over UNC

Miami over Clemson

Fredact · Mar 7, 2023

FireballZ said:
Pitt is +3000 to make the Final Four and +15000 to win it all on DK.

+30,000 on Fanduel to win it all.

Cap pitt · Mar 7, 2023

Chairman Moe said:
I am not a sports bettor, but here's how I see the week ahead:

Tuesday Games:
FSU over GT
BC over Lou
VT over ND

Wednesday Games:
WF over Syr
Pitt over FSU
BC over UNC
NC St over VT

Thursday Games:
Miami over WF
Dook over Pitt
BC over VA
Clemson over NC St

Semi-Finals:
Dook over Miami
Clemson over BC

FINAL:
Dook over Clemson

NCAA teams from ACC:
Duke
Miami
Clemson
Virginia
NC Stste
Pitt

I don’t see dook winning the acc tourney

Seneca_Valley · Mar 7, 2023

Cap pitt said:
I don’t see dook winning the acc tourney

Sure, Duke can win it all. But so can six other teams who are legitimate contenders. The most wide-open ACC tournament in memory. At least mine.
Here is to hope that I am glued to the TV on Saturday.

Sean Miller Fan · Mar 7, 2023

Seneca_Valley said:
Sure, Duke can win it all. But so can six other teams who are legitimate contenders. The most wide-open ACC tournament in memory. At least mine.
Here is to hope that I am glued to the TV on Saturday.

I dont think its that wide open. Duke and Miami are far and away the best 2 teams.

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