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Monmouth

No offense, but that is crazy, and just 100% wrong. Jerry Palm, who is as good at this as anyone, doesn't have Wichita in the field, and probably won't have Monmouth. In his words, Valpo isn't even close.

There is a ZERO percent chance Valpo makes it. If they make it, Princeton should make it. Same RPI, better SOS/KenPom. Valpo won't even be a 1 seed in the NIT, cmon. You can't lose in the Horizon SEMIS and make it.

100% guaranteed lock is just wrong. If they are a 100% guaranteed lock, Pitt would have to be a 150% guaranteed lock...I don't think Pitt losing to Cuse will drop them more than losing to Iona, or losing to N Iowa, and Pitt was ahead of those teams in the first place.

I'd be much more worried if I were Pitt about teams like Michigan/Florida/GW making runs than I would about mid majors. Pitt was ahead of those mid majors, and they won't get passed because those mid majors already lost. Pitt could get passed by AAC or A-10 teams that make runs.

I think Pitt and Cuse are probably both in at this point regardless, more likely Uconn/Cincy game a "play out" game, only because I don't think AAC will get 4 teams.

Pitt, having beaten Cuse twice, probably sliiiighly more likely to make field with a loss, but close.

Pitt's chances of making the tournament better NEARLY everywhere than projected on this board. Pitt still the top 9 seed on bracket matrix..very hard to fall 10 spots or so when most of those teams will be losing early as well.

I'm not saying lose and everything is fine, or if we lose I won't get on a soapbox and complain, but I think we are in regardless.
Valpo won't make it, but I believe Monmouth and Wichita St will.
 
I think Wichita State is a lock. The committee is going to see that they lost several close games to decent teams with Van Vleet out and the will take that into account. On the other hand, if Monmouth makes it that will be criminal.
 
I think Wichita State is a lock. The committee is going to see that they lost several close games to decent teams with Van Vleet out and the will take that into account. On the other hand, if Monmouth makes it that will be criminal.
I'm serious, people just like to say Monmouth, just like they like to say "salsa".
 
If Monmouth gets an at large bid they would have to be the at large team with the worst three losses by any at large team in the history of the tournament. You lose to Canisus, Army and Manhattan and the only way you should get into the tournament is by buying a ticket.

Yep, it would be a complete joke, and they are 27-7.. Let me repeat that ...
27-7.. NOT 32-2...
 
Better hope all the committee members watched the Pitt-Duke game.
They probably didn't watch the game but heard all Coach K's whining about Duke was tired etc. and that's why Duke lost watering down the PITT win.
Also we beat Duke, coach K whins about Duke being tired, and than we lose two to teams we should have beat so the Duke win is a win but maybe not as big as it could have been.
 
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What has happened, is that conference realignment has basically killed at large bids for mid majors. The most successful teams at that level, with the exception of Gonzaga, and Wichita, have all moved up. As a result, the top non P5 leagues have separated from the mid majors, and have created their own level. The BE, A10, and AAC, are now dominating the at large bids that don't go to P5 schools. The MWC, MVC, and WCC are decent enough, that they can score the occasional at large bid, but the rest of those leagues can forget about it.
 
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