One of Today's ACC -- Big 10 Comparisons

[DC_Area_Panther]

Based on Sagarin's ratings following Yesterday's (12/19/20) games. A team probably need to finish better than #40, possibly better than #35 for an NCAA bid given the auto-bid leagues and W vs L records lowered by playing in a very tough conference. If these rankings persisted to season's end the ACC would be potentially a 6-7 -bid league and the Big 10 potentially a 9-10 bid league.

https://www.usatoday.com/sports/ncaab/sagarin/2021/conference/

ACC Standings

12 Virginia = 89.01
20 Florida State = 86.51
24 Louisville = 86.04
25 North Carolina = 85.97
28 Syracuse = 85.66
30 Clemson = 85.57
36 Duke = 84.99
40 NC State = 84.37
45 Virginia Tech = 83.85
63 Georgia Tech = 80.82
67 Pittsburgh = 80.27
91 Miami-Florida = 77.66
101 Notre Dame = 77.01
108 Wake Forest = 76.26
143 Boston College = 73.90

Big 10 Standings

3 Iowa = 91.13
6 Wisconsin = 90.15
7 Illinois = 89.98
11 Michigan = 89.08
15 Rutgers = 86.93
16 Michigan State = 86.91
23 Indiana = 86.20
32 Ohio State = 85.12
35 Purdue = 84.99
38 Penn State = 84.96
42 Maryland = 84.26
58 Minnesota = 81.80
69 Northwestern = 79.76
105 Nebraska = 76.52

 

[PittMan 72]

As things stand at present that’s about right. Have to see if there are changes throughout the season, of course. With things like injuries it can be tough to predict in December. Also, this year with COVID it may be even more unpredictable.

Something that’s interesting is to observe how perceptions can change. Seems there was a time not so very long ago when this board was all about the notion that regular season (and/or conference trny) success wans’t necessarily the standard To determine things. Teams and leagues were evaluated more on NCAAT performance. Pitt in particular fell victim to that malady: the NCAAT bugaboo.

But since we’re still a long way from that (hopefully there IS an NCAAT this season) we’re also a long way from any final determination. However, there is no doubt that right now, things are trending better for the B1G than the ACC.

 

[DC_Area_Panther]

I suspect there will be an NCAAT this season given that the medical pros and elderly have already started to be vaccinated and predictions are that we reach 70% heard immunity by late May and the pandemic may be history by summer. Hopefully, that prediction comes true and translates to a much lower infection rate by NCAAT time plus having most of the at risk population (old and others with comorbidities) vaccine protected by that time. If so, it should at least mean no more dangerous spikes in infection rates likely by tourney time---or, at least we can hope so. Caveat--that doesn't mean we fill tourney venues with fans--but, maybe reduced capacity social distanced attendance might be safe by that time. We shall see.

 

[Zeldas Open Roof]

Big 10 hoops is ridiculously impressive.

 

[PittMan 72]

Yet the ACC vs B1G games yielded a pretty even result head to head in the series earlier this season.

So we’ll see at the end of the year. Probably a better indication than in December.

 

[DC_Area_Panther]

No doubt. Northwestern beating Michigan St tonight helps make Pitt look relatively better, anyway.

 

[JS School]

The Big 10 is a basketball conference, the schools that play big time football should break away.
But where would Ohio St and Northwestern go?

 

[thirteenNINE]

One thing that I'm very curious to see in this truncated year is what the committee does when they have to choose between, say, an 11-13 Penn State and a 16-5 USC on Selection Sunday. It's quite one thing in a normal year to value the "quality wins" of a 17-14 Texas over a 30-6 St Mary's but I'm curious to see if the committee has the guts to apply that same logic to a brand name P6 team.