Here's some evidence that Dixon would have brought the program back to close to where it was from 2003 - 2014.
In 2009, he was the head coach for the
FIBA Under-19 2009 gold-medal winning
United States national basketball team for which he was named the 2009
USA Basketball National Coach of the Year. Dixon was named
Big East Coach of the Year in 2004,
Naismith College Coach of the Year in 2009,
Jim Phelan National Coach of the Year in 2010, and the
Sporting News National Coach of the Year award in 2011.
Dixon won Big East Coach of the Year honors in 2004 for leading Pitt to a school-record 31 wins and the Big East regular season championship. He took Pitt to the final game of the
Big East men's basketball tournament in 2004, 2006, 2007 and 2008, winning the 2008 Big East tournament Championship against No.1 seed Georgetown.
He is Pitt's first and only head coach to guide the Panthers to seven consecutive NCAA tournament appearances and seven consecutive seasons of at least 20 overall wins and 10 league wins.
His success at Pitt continued through the 2010 season, perhaps his best coaching performance to date. The Panthers tied for second place in the Big East and earned a No.2 seed in the Big East tournament, despite being picked to finish 9th in the conference preseason poll. Dixon guided Pitt to yet another NCAA Tournament appearance, their seventh in his first seven years as head coach, and was awarded both the Big East Coach of the Year and
Jim Phelan National Coach of the Year Awards by CollegeInsider.com. He is the first and only head coach in Pitt's history to lead his team to seven consecutive NCAA tournament appearances.
At the end of the 2010 season, Dixon is the winningest coach in Big East history with a current .721 winning percentage in eight seasons of league games (98–38). He also stands second on Pitt's all-time wins list, behind only the legendary Doc Carlson.
On March 21, 2016, Dixon accepted the head coaching position at his alma mater. In his first season in Fort Worth, he led the Horned Frogs to their best Big 12 conference record (6–12) since joining the league in 2012–13, their first-ever program win over a #1-ranked team, their first Big 12 Tournament semifinal game, and the NIT championship.[
citation needed] In
2017–18, the school reached the NCAA Tournament for the first time in 20 years.
The following season, Dixon coached them to their third straight 20-win season. Dixon's TCU team is 8-1 so far in 2022-2023.
I know he's not the best coach out there. But he's head and shoulders above anyone that Pitt interviewed as his replacement and certainly better than Capel. He's proven he could have continued making this Pitt program at least competitive and excellent again.
I know it's speculation since nothing is ever definite in sports. It's like the stock market...you speculate on what you believe gives you the best chance of making the most money. Dixon would have been a better choice to do that instead of either of the coaches we've had since then, at least to this point.