Listed in order of likelihood. My guesstimate as to the chances in parentheses.
1. North Texas/UAB (30%)
- Both are pretty good teams. If either of these beats FAU, they'll steal a bid.
2. San Jose State (20%)
- Would have to beat:
San Diego State
Boise State/Utah State
3. Oregon (10%)
- Would have to beat:
UCLA
Arizona/ASU
4. Vanderbilt (3%)
- Would have to beat:
Kentucky
Texas A&M/Arkansas
Alabama/Tennessee/Missouri/Mississippi State
5. Ohio State (3%)
- Would have to beat:
Michigan State
Purdue/Rutgers
Indiana/MD/NW/PSU
6. Someone other than Houston or Memphis in the AAC (3%)
It would be a monumental upset for UCF, Temple, Cincinnati, Wichita State, Tulane, or East Carolina to win this conference.
1. North Texas/UAB (30%)
- Both are pretty good teams. If either of these beats FAU, they'll steal a bid.
2. San Jose State (20%)
- Would have to beat:
San Diego State
Boise State/Utah State
3. Oregon (10%)
- Would have to beat:
UCLA
Arizona/ASU
4. Vanderbilt (3%)
- Would have to beat:
Kentucky
Texas A&M/Arkansas
Alabama/Tennessee/Missouri/Mississippi State
5. Ohio State (3%)
- Would have to beat:
Michigan State
Purdue/Rutgers
Indiana/MD/NW/PSU
6. Someone other than Houston or Memphis in the AAC (3%)
It would be a monumental upset for UCF, Temple, Cincinnati, Wichita State, Tulane, or East Carolina to win this conference.