Good post. It continues to be very simple IMO--we need the right kind and combination of players. That doesn't mean a bunch of H.S. All-Americans, but it does mean kids with some talent and toughness. The one time I think we legitimately had the right kind and combo of players at the same time, that, we came within a hair of the final four. More than anything, I think we need to add better guards, guys who can handle, shoot, drive, and defend. One true PG and a bunch of these "combo" guys that JD has always liked is not working. Every team needs at least 2 true primary ballhandlers, and the 2 guard HAS to be a scorer.I have always been a very strong JD supporter and I truly hope he can get his mojo back, because relative to the ceasepool he swims in, he does things the "right way."
But, he has been spinning out for a while now, and people want to look for simple answers, it pre-dates the ACC agreement.
He lost his flow when he did what we ALL wanted him to do, recruit more "talented" guys. The program started its slide when Dante Taylor didn't pan, followed by Birch bailing. He got a major kick to the nads when Adams went back home after his frosh season and never came back. Had he had Adams just one more year with Lamar, maybe that team makes a deep run in the NCAAs that would have changed the program's a arc. His under recruiting quality/talent at guard caught up to him over the last five years now along with his spinning out on big men.
Perhaps his fatal blow was Slice bolting for Kentucky. The only real positive vibe the program had was during that period where Slice was on board, the got Heron and Rowan committed. Maybe they lose Rowan either way, but they probably still would have Heron in the pocket and not had to transition to another assistant in Slice. It isn't saying Slice is the end all be all, but for the Pitt program he is a big deal, and we have seen a pretty bad string of recruiting failures since.
All this said, relative to the program he coaches at, which is not a super elite program like Kentucky, UCLA, NC, what he has done is significant enough that he has to be given time to work it out. It doesn't look good, but it has to play out one way or another possibly for a few more seasons at least.
You never want a down period to be extended, if that is the case, but it is about the next hire regardless. They could part ways with him today and if they make a bad hire it won't make things any better. Even if they do it the process right like they did with Nards, it just could not work out, like a Williard, who was one of the two or three most well regarded hires at that time.
I am a Dixon supporter and have been since he was a candidate to replace Howland--I'm a big believer in continuity when you have a successful program. That isn't going to change anytime soon. However, and I've been like a broken record on this, he HAS to turn his full effort and attention to building a team the right way. Some posters are suggesting that his recruiting downfall has been chasing the top 100 kids. Maybe that has had something to do with it, but in case anyone hasn't noticed, we are missing badly on most of the 100-200 kids we've targeted as well. Something is wrong there. It needs to be fixed. And blaming the assistants is useless--it's Jamie's program. HE needs to fix it. If that means getting a better recruiting staff, then that;s his responsibility. And I'm not sure how personally involved he is in recruiting some of these kids, he's a low profile guy, but he needs to be heavily involved on a personal level with his recruiting. It's his job before anyone else's. It's his program, not his staff's.