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Vader Recruiting: Horton, Odukale, And Early Thoughts on Next Year

Ithiel Horton


As a true freshmen Ithiel Horton made 81 three pointers and had an offensive rating of 108 with a 41% 3 point shooting percentage. Im going to put into perspective how rare that is as a freshman to accomplish those three numbers hand in hand.

Of all 353 college teams combined, 5 Total players in all of Division 1 basketball made 81 or more 3 point shots as a true freshmen this year. Only 2 of those 5 players had an offensive rating better than 108 with a 40%+ 3 point shooting percentage in all of college basketball. Of those 2 freshmen that did what Horton did as a freshmen, one already declared for the NBA draft. This is rare company.


Horton is going to start and is going to open up our entire offense. This is a player that can make a lot of 3’s and hit very deep 3’s. There isn’t any hope here as he has proven how good of a shooter he is already. This was a player that was scoring over 20 points per game with an offensive rating over 150 in the final games of his freshmen season. And he redshirted this year.


When Wilson-Frame was a Panther he helped open up our offense with his 3 point shooting. This severely helped X and Trey as freshmen, since both had an offensive rating of 99 with solid freshmen seasons. Without Frame’s 3 point shooting and playing against constant sagging zone defenses, X’s offensive rating fell to 93 and Mcgowens fell to a 91 this year.


Murphy’s shooting ability was mostly all talk without walk. Ryan Murphy finished the season with 42 made 3 balls at 33% shooting, which are dismal numbers for a 3 point only specialist. As for Mcgowens, he finished the season 3rd worst on the team in offensive rating and with a team worst -61 in plus minus for the season. Mcgowens regressed more than anyone the final 10 games.


To be an NCAA team , 8 players need to be very close to or above 100 in offensive rating in ORTG. The magic number is about 8. This is where we finished this year.

Toney-109

Horton-108 (year prior)

Champagnie-108

Brown-104

X-93

Coulibaly-89

Drumgoole-61


This obviously is not good enough.


Next year, Im very confident with Toney, Champagnie, and Horton being around 110 or better. I think its possible any of the 3 could challenge for 120. I think with Horton, it is fairly likely X gets to 100 or better as X was almost at 100 as a freshmen.


X really needs to clean up his shooting and his turnovers. In X’s final 3 games he had 17 turnovers this year. He still isn’t getting it with respect to protecting the basketball and not turning it over. As an upperclassman he needs to step up next year.


I think Coulibaly is going to see a jump next year and will push for a 100 rating. I have much less confidence in Drumgoole at this point even with his foot injury this year. His play and shooting leave a lot to be desired. Drumgoole had one of the lowest rock bottom offensive ratings of any new freshmen that came into this program in the last 20 years and that includes all the walkon players. Drumgoole was far and away that bad.


I think this is our opening day starting 5.

Pg-X-Junior

Sg-Horton- RS Soph.

Sf-Toney-Junior

Pf-Champagnie-Soph

C-Hugley-Freshman


Other notes:

I expect a faster tempo next year and a much more aggressive defense. I expect to see more press, traps and double teams. We had success with it this year. I think we will have much more success with it next year with more players available and better talented athletes.


I think Femi Odukale is ready and significantly underrated. I think he contributes immediately. And I think Jeff Capel is very high on his ability as Jeff Capel pressed this kid hard to commit over a lot of other potential targets. Odukale will be 20 years old next winter. He was the catalyst off the full court press for Springfield this year and pushing the ball in transition. With his length on the floor and ability on defense with Toney, we are going to force quite a bit of turnovers and get our transition game on offense going again.


Odukale broke the all time school record with assists this year at Springfield against high level competition. He registered more assists this year as a prep senior (9 assists per game) than any other player to come into this program in the last 20 years. I would also reiterate that in the last 2 recruiting classes, our worst rated recruit by the recruiting services (X and Champ) was our best freshmen performer. Don’t be surprised if Odukale keeps that trend intact. He has a relentless work ethic with a NY junkyard dog meanness and toughness on the floor.


I think Collier and Amadasun will be minimal spare backups as freshmen at this point.


Will Jeffress is the wildcard player. And I say that because of his age. Jeffress has made pretty significant strides with his shooting and his handle this year. He has a lot more guard in him than what is getting mentioned and I think he can get some time as a 2 this year even though he is a projected wing. I think Jeffress has the height, athleticism, and skills to be a multi-utility player that can swing between multiple positions as a freshman. With Jeffress being an excellent student with a high IQ and thirst for knowledge, he should be able to adapt much faster to this type of role. I will be surprised if he redshirted. I think other players may be redshirted before him.


The ACC will be down again next year. I made this claim repeatedly last summer before ACC play started this year. Im not sure yet how down the ACC will be as the rosters aren’t finalized, but expect a fairly weak ACC again.


The staff obvious wants Trey Murphy. With a 115-offensive rating through 2 seasons, 140 made three balls, and a combined 3 point shooting percentage of 38%, he helps to address our shooting weakness from 3. He has also shown the ability to hit the 3 off the bounce as well as the catch, making him more valuable.


Our rebounding next year will be better. Femi Odukale is a monstrous upgrade rebounding over Murphy or Mcgowens and I want to highlight the word Monstrous. And I think Hugley is going to be a significant upgrade rebounding in the paint.


Our team passing next year will be much better. I have raved about the passing ability of Hugley and Odukale. From day 1, I think John Hugley establishes himself as one of the top passing bigs in the ACC. In 3 full seasons Terrell Brown has 28 total assists. Hugley should challenge to beat that total in half a season. Hamilton and Brown for the entire season combined last year had 10 total assists. Hugley should challenge to beat that in his first 5 games.


The team balance scoring next year should be much better. We should get legit scoring punch from at least 4 positions and the depth should be much better. With Horton’s shooting ability, the newcomers passing ability, and with a better transition game, our offense should make a significant jump next year with improvement over this year. I think Odukale and Hugley will both challenge for a 100+ level offensive rating as freshmen.


Lastly, I am happy the New York toughness is coming back to this program. This program was built on talent and toughness from New York. Players like Krauser, Fields, Taft, Ramon, Benjamin, Page, Woodall, etc.. Champagnie is from Brooklyn NY and so is his future teammate, Odukale.


Femi Odukale was recently voted the National Prep Player of the Year runner up this year. Sam Young was National prep player of the year at Hargrave Miltary before he was an All American at Pitt.

Everyone should be very excited with the talent coming into this program next season.... This is an outstanding recruiting class.
Man Vader. You are hitting on ALL CYLINDERS
 
Man Vader. You are hitting on ALL CYLINDERS

Man, am I glad this thread from April was responded to today
by Murphy. If you have time, go back and read through it. The
OP (Vader) provides a lot of analysis and conjecture, but is
"over exuberant" in regards to our recruits and transfers.
According to him Horton is going to start and "open up our
entire offense." He also projects him to have an offensive rating
of" around 110 or better." Hmm...."over exuberant maybe? LOL
Now, it's only two games in so far and a lot can change.
Seriously though, ask your self.....How do our panthers look at
this point and how do you feel about their chances this year?
It's interesting to see what we posted April 11 and 12th as
opposed to what we're seeing at this point.
 
Man, am I glad this thread from April was responded to today
by Murphy. If you have time, go back and read through it. The
OP (Vader) provides a lot of analysis and conjecture, but is
"over exuberant" in regards to our recruits and transfers.
According to him Horton is going to start and "open up our
entire offense." He also projects him to have an offensive rating
of" around 110 or better." Hmm...."over exuberant maybe? LOL
Now, it's only two games in so far and a lot can change.
Seriously though, ask your self.....How do our panthers look at
this point and how do you feel about their chances this year?
It's interesting to see what we posted April 11 and 12th as
opposed to what we're seeing at this point.

Karim Coulibaly is 12th in the entire country with an offensive power rating of 177.5 ORTG with 2 games played. If the minimum sample size of at least 2 games played is used by every single player in all of D1 basketball, Coulibaly is ranked 1st in the entire Nation on offense in ORTG right now over everybody.


For clarification purposes, I said again the other day and said I expect Horton to be between 100-110+ ORTG for the entire season.

If your goal is to say I told you so we can revisit this after this season and after his career is over. If I am wrong, lll own it. To judge anything after 2 games is asinine.


I would have thought some of you would have calmed down after Trey Mcgowens looked like a hero against Mcneese State (352nd worst defense in the entire country out of 357 total teams) only to put up a 0 point with 4 foul game against Nevada with an ORTG of 22 when he collapsed again against a team with an actual pulse.
 
I agree. I dont know how anyone could of formed an opinion of Drumgoole. Comes in for 2 minutes here 3 1/2 minutes there with no role and playing through an injury. I dont have any kind of feel for what kind of player he can be but I guess some are done with him.

He cant get on the floor for a really bad team. Why do you think that is?
 
Karim Coulibaly is 12th in the entire country with an offensive power rating of 177.5 ORTG with 2 games played. If the minimum sample size of at least 2 games played is used by every single player in all of D1 basketball, Coulibaly is ranked 1st in the entire Nation on offense in ORTG right now over everybody.


For clarification purposes, I said again the other day and said I expect Horton to be between 100-110+ ORTG for the entire season.

If your goal is to say I told you so we can revisit this after this season and after his career is over. If I am wrong, lll own it. To judge anything after 2 games is asinine.


I would have thought some of you would have calmed down after Trey Mcgowens looked like a hero against Mcneese State (352nd worst defense in the entire country out of 357 total teams) only to put up a 0 point with 4 foul game against Nevada with an ORTG of 22 when he collapsed again against a team with an actual pulse.

Nope, the year is over. It's a wrap. Lol.
 
Man, am I glad this thread from April was responded to today
by Murphy. If you have time, go back and read through it. The
OP (Vader) provides a lot of analysis and conjecture, but is
"over exuberant" in regards to our recruits and transfers.
According to him Horton is going to start and "open up our
entire offense." He also projects him to have an offensive rating
of" around 110 or better." Hmm...."over exuberant maybe? LOL
Now, it's only two games in so far and a lot can change.
Seriously though, ask your self.....How do our panthers look at
this point and how do you feel about their chances this year?
It's interesting to see what we posted April 11 and 12th as
opposed to what we're seeing at this point.
Yeah, we Pitt fans can all be ‘exuberantly’ happy that these transfers and recruits haven’t turned out near as well as Vader or anyone else made em out to be!!
 
If your goal is to say I told you so we can revisit this after this season and after his career is over. If I am wrong, lll own it. To judge anything after 2 games is asinine.

Don't be so defensive. The "goal" isn't to say "I told you so"....the
point made was about you being "over exuberant" regarding
recruits and transfers. I posted it then, and stand by it today.
Go re read it, it was reposted by another poster today.
You had Horton as the reason our offense is going to improve
dramatically. I posted today...it's still early and "a lot can
change." I didn't say he had no chance....but I did say based
on what we've seen so far, doesn't look that good.
Coulibaly??.....you can use any set of statistics you want,
but he is a far cry from the player you're touting. His play
last year supports that. Actually I like him, he works hard,
hustles and due to our limitations inside, will start...at least
for the time being.
Those are my opinions, they differ from yours, no biggie.
 
Man, am I glad this thread from April was responded to today
by Murphy. If you have time, go back and read through it. The
OP (Vader) provides a lot of analysis and conjecture, but is
"over exuberant" in regards to our recruits and transfers.
According to him Horton is going to start and "open up our
entire offense." He also projects him to have an offensive rating
of" around 110 or better." Hmm...."over exuberant maybe? LOL
Now, it's only two games in so far and a lot can change.
Seriously though, ask your self.....How do our panthers look at
this point and how do you feel about their chances this year?
It's interesting to see what we posted April 11 and 12th as
opposed to what we're seeing at this point.

IMO you're gonna look silly with this in a couple months. At least the Horton part.
 
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One of the top two or three talent evaluators on this site thinks he's going to be great, even after the last two games. I'll take his word and my eyes over yours. It's a rough start to the season for the whole team, things will look very different in a month.

Cmon man. Vader a top three player analyst on the lair? You trolling?
 
IMO you're gonna look silly with this in a couple months. At least the Horton part.

Well it wouldn't be the first time in my life.
Don't take my word for it.....check out some of
the other posters who disagree with you.
Now, once again...if you read my post you'd notice
that I said it's only two games and a lot can
change. Didn't exactly throw him under the bus.
So far though...he doesn't look like how he was
cracked up to be.
 
Well it wouldn't be the first time in my life.
Don't take my word for it.....check out some of
the other posters who disagree with you.
Now, once again...if you read my post you'd notice
that I said it's only two games and a lot can
change. Didn't exactly throw him under the bus.
So far though...he doesn't look like how he was
cracked up to be.

He sure doesn't. But he will at least be a solid scorer when he settles in IMO. Like the shot, like the 1st step, don't like the "jitters", or the poor defense. I predict his adjustment period will take several more games.
 
Some of this dialogue has me LMFAO. I remember the Post of Vader wrecking on his hover board. That shit is funny as hell. Right now I have to agree that Vader may have been a bit over exuberant about our recruits.

What I like tho, is this year I think there is more overall talent on this team and there is more size and length also. Because of that, I think we are going to be able to really evaluate Capel and his staff because this team should make progress as the year goes on.

I have been told by the almighty Bballinsider that the staff sucks. Therefore, perhaps we will get worse and lose every ACC game and he will come on here and say I told you so. Myself, I think Capel might find the right combinations, but, it will take time. If we don't improve, then I will name Bballinsider as the new professor of the Lair.
 
Some of this dialogue has me LMFAO. I remember the Post of Vader wrecking on his hover board. That shit is funny as hell. Right now I have to agree that Vader may have been a bit over exuberant about our recruits.

What I like tho, is this year I think there is more overall talent on this team and there is more size and length also. Because of that, I think we are going to be able to really evaluate Capel and his staff because this team should make progress as the year goes on.

I have been told by the almighty Bballinsider that the staff sucks. Therefore, perhaps we will get worse and lose every ACC game and he will come on here and say I told you so. Myself, I think Capel might find the right combinations, but, it will take time. If we don't improve, then I will name Bballinsider as the new professor of the Lair.
We won’t lose every game. 3-5 ACC wins.
 
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He sure doesn't. But he will at least be a solid scorer when he settles in IMO. Like the shot, like the 1st step, don't like the "jitters", or the poor defense. I predict his adjustment period will take several more games.

Ok, I can go along with that. I hope he does come around.
 
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Let's calm down and step back for a couple of months, at least. None of these freshmen has proven a thing yet. And the upperclassmen haven't either. To be honest, neither has Capel going into his third year. But it's to the point now that things have to change this year and dramatically or a lot of people will be asking a lot of questions.
 
I propose an absolutely excruciating Trey-off between Vader and panther4life32. 75% of panther4life’s posts are about Trey McGowens. We know what Vader’s assessment is.
 
Let's calm down and step back for a couple of months, at least. None of these freshmen has proven a thing yet. And the upperclassmen haven't either. To be honest, neither has Capel going into his third year. But it's to the point now that things have to change this year and dramatically or a lot of people will be asking a lot of questions.

Yup, can’t understand how people are ready to boot Capel but at the same time are okay with Narduzzi, pathetic football and another garbage bowl game???
 
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Yup, can’t understand how people are ready to boot Capel but at the same time are okay with Narduzzi, pathetic football and another garbage bowl game???
I’m not ok with either but Narduzzi has won the 3rd most ACC games in his tenure. Capel is 9-29 in the ACC with two last place finishes and people are talking about him going to Duke.

Do we live in reality?
 
I’m not ok with either but Narduzzi has won the 3rd most ACC games in his tenure. Capel is 9-29 in the ACC with two last place finishes and people are talking about him going to Duke.

Do we live in reality?

Not right now, it’s about the same as saying Narduzzi is taking over for Saban...and that sure isn’t going to happen. This being said, Capel is only in year three. Agree he needs to get this going but holy smoker smackers!
 
Not right now, it’s about the same as saying Narduzzi is taking over for Saban...and that sure isn’t going to happen. This being said, Capel is only in year three. Agree he needs to get this going but holy smoker smackers!
I’m not saying to fire Capel by any stretch of the imagination. You can’t even discuss it until year 5. I’m saying it would be insane to fire Narduzzi as basically a top 3-4 ACC program while employing a BBall coach who has accomplished nothing to date.

And this comes as a fan who absolutely loathes Narduzzi and thinks he sucks.
 
IMO you're gonna look silly with this in a couple months. At least the Horton part.

agreed. 2 games in and jumping to conclusions based on performance. You can see who will get minutes and who won't, but judging a kid based on 2 games when a) hasn't play in 2 years b) playing for a new team c) playing in an unprecedented pandemic is extremely amateur analysis.
 
I’m not ok with either but Narduzzi has won the 3rd most ACC games in his tenure. Capel is 9-29 in the ACC with two last place finishes and people are talking about him going to Duke.

Do we live in reality?

I disagree w you a lot but agree here. Capel going to Duke at this point is laughable. That said I think he can win here, but the clock is ticking.

I'd like to bury the hatchet. I've said some stuff on here to offend you, but rather than continuing to fight, lets just have some genuine convo's about our beloved Panthers. We both are rooting for the same outcome.
 
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I disagree w you a lot but agree here. Capel going to Duke at this point is laughable. That said I think he can win here, but the clock is ticking.

I'd like to bury the hatchet. I've said some stuff on here to offend you, but rather than continuing to fight, lets just have some genuine convo's about our beloved Panthers. We both are rooting for the same outcome.

Love the holiday spirit... what’s next , PittPoker and CMUandPitt making up????
 
I disagree w you a lot but agree here. Capel going to Duke at this point is laughable. That said I think he can win here, but the clock is ticking.

I'd like to bury the hatchet. I've said some stuff on here to offend you, but rather than continuing to fight, lets just have some genuine convo's about our beloved Panthers. We both are rooting for the same outcome.
Lol no worries man. Spirited arguments about Pitt and inside info is just as good as anything else to keep us sane during these times

PS: life ain’t worth livin without rivalries
 
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Not right now, it’s about the same as saying Narduzzi is taking over for Saban...and that sure isn’t going to happen. This being said, Capel is only in year three. Agree he needs to get this going but holy smoker smackers!
The two yrs prior to getting the Duke job Coach K was 14-11 and 9-17 at Army so anything is possible .

Not Duke.bb , but Paul Christ was 19-19 over 3 yrs at Pitt and Wisconsin isnt a bad job .

If Coach K retires tomorrow JC has no chance , in two yrs from now who knows if he‘s able to make Pitt a representative ACC team what could he do at Duke ?
 
The two yrs prior to getting the Duke job Coach K was 14-11 and 9-17 at Army so anything is possible .

Not Duke.bb , but Paul Christ was 19-19 over 3 yrs at Pitt and Wisconsin isnt a bad job .

If Coach K retires tomorrow JC has no chance , in two yrs from now who knows if he‘s able to make Pitt a representative ACC team what could he do at Duke ?


Some good points made in your post, especially the comparison to
Chryst going to Wisconsin.
Chryst coached at Wisconsin, was an Assistant there, and played there.
Capel coached at Duke, was an assistant there, and played there.
Like you said, "in two years who knows." But I personally doubt it.

On the other hand since you called Chryst, Christ...who knows, maybe
they both walk on water. :)
 
Some good points made in your post, especially the comparison to
Chryst going to Wisconsin.
Chryst coached at Wisconsin, was an Assistant there, and played there.
Capel coached at Duke, was an assistant there, and played there.
Like you said, "in two years who knows." But I personally doubt it.

On the other hand since you called Chryst, Christ...who knows, maybe
they both walk on water. :)
Never been good with names !
 
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