In the other thread people were saying things that make no sense. Hope to clarify things and show why we are screwed.
ACC current network deal pays each school $17/year and runs until 2036. As a comparison Big 12 is $20 yr but the contract is up next year. Pac 12 is $21 million and is up in 2024. For the ACC to exceed either of these conferences today it must add a team that is worth about $92 million a year ($17 million each school is already getting + $75 million ($5 million/team for 15 teams now). The only team with this much juice is ND and if you are ND will you say we're worth $90 million but only take $22 million so our basketball/non revenue sports conference can survive. And if we really do need a conference is there one out there (Big 10 whose media rights is already over $50 million/team before adding USC and UCLA). So what do you think will happen?
As for Pitt being marketable. Maybe on the field but not off. I currently pay $1.86/month for the Big 10 network. Don't want it. Barely watch it except for an occasional hockey game and maybe a hoop game. But it's part of the sports package of FS1, NBA, NHL, MLB etc. Can't opt out Now compare us to Minnesota. Let's be real conservative that Big 10 network is only in 2 million homes across the state. So Minnesota is generating $4 million/month or $50 million/year. Big 10 already has PA TVs so Pitt adds nothing. Maybe a few eyeballs that ticks up the Nielsen numbers but the contracts are signed for multiple years and Pitt is not bringing $50 million a year eyeballs to ESPN or whoever gets the contract.
The only way to get out of the contract is for something big to happen. It's only ND and like I said above. Not happening. Most likely others will jump and the ACC will be happy to keep its deal. And if the Big 10 expands more, and they will. AZ, Utah CO and OR are the best candidates because of the Big 10 network. Maybe not in Oregon but they have an alumnus who has considerable sway with a lot of athletic departments so they will be fine when this is done.
My guess is two 20 team conferences (SEC and Big 10) so the four schools I mention previously those 4 to the Big 10. SEC poaches 4 from the ACC and we are behind UNC, FSU, Miami, VA Tech, Clemson and at least VA. Any of those schools get approached. Bye. Bye.
So the best we can do is that the two giants are done. Big 12 and Pac 10 (can say that now) media deals stay within a few million of the $17 million the ACC will be getting so were not blown out of the water. And a ton of NIL flows in.
Sorry guys.