Bowl scenario if Pitt wins out

[Sean Miller Fan]

I think Pitt needs to go 9-3 to win get a Tier 1 Bowl because, as we now know, there is no "within 1 win rule" and at 8-4, there wont be enough distance between them and attractive 6-6 teams like VT, FSU, UNC, and NC State. So, if we win out, here's what I think the bowl situation looks like:

CFP: Clemson

Orange: Wake Forest

Camping World: Notre Dame

Music City: UVa
Belk: Miami
Pinstripe: Pitt
Sun: Louisville

If Pitt wins out, I think VT goes 6-6 losing to Wake, Pitt, and UVa to knock them down a peg.

 

[Spectacle]

Wake Forest is going to lose one or two more times.

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

Wake Forest is going to lose one or two more times.

I have factored in the Clemson loss. They could lose to VT or Duke but I don't think they do. Their offense is legit. Somehow they have 2 if the 5 best QB's in the league and 2 of the best WR's

 

[Pitt2006]

Notre dame will be in orange vs another ACC team.

 

[kma0043]

NYC is an attractive destination in my book.

 

[California Panther]

If Pitt wins out, I think VT goes 6-6 losing to Wake, Pitt, and UVa to knock them down a peg.

VT CANNOT go to bowl at 6-6, they played 2 FCS teams and can only count 1 towards bowl eligibility. To be bowl eligible, VT has to go 7-5.

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

Notre dame will be in orange vs another ACC team.

If Florida wins out, they will go to the Orange.

Alabama and LSU to CFP
Georgia to Sugar
Florida to Orange

 

[Slick Manager of Champs]

If Florida wins out, they will go to the Orange.

Alabama and LSU to CFP
Georgia to Sugar
Florida to Orange

don't count out Pac-12. There's a chance for an 11-1 conference champion. I don't think an extra SEC team would trump that.

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

don't count out Pac-12. There's a chance for an 11-1 conference champion. I don't think an extra SEC team would trump that.

Oregon at 12-1 owns a blowout loss to a what may end up being a 4 loss Auburn team and Utah lost to USC. The OSU/PSU loser may get in over the Pac 12 champ.

 

[BFo8]

don't count out Pac-12. There's a chance for an 11-1 conference champion. I don't think an extra SEC team would trump that.

That is already shaping up to be the big decision. I think a 1 loss PAC 12 champ gets in over Oklahoma, but not sure about a 1 loss SEC team.

Especially if Alabama would lose without Tua to LSU this week then win out. They wouldn’t even be playing in the SEC title game, but you can be pretty sure they get in. Also if Georgia beats an undefeated Alabama/LSU team in the SEC title game you can pretty much bank on both of those teams getting in.

 

[BFo8]

Oregon at 12-1 owns a blowout loss to a what may end up being a 4 loss Auburn team and Utah lost to USC. The OSU/PSU loser may get in over the Pac 12 champ.

If it’s OSU maybe, a 1 loss PSU with their schedule has only one path to get in and that’s win them all. If they lose to Ohio St they have no realistic chance to get in.

 

[Las Panteras]

And as usual with SMF much of this thread has nothing to do with Pitt as they are not finishing with a 9-3 record and a tier one bowl.

In fact , I think the Pinstripe may be a done deal with Mich State. Certainly, heather has been working the phones.

I'm cool with NYC and Mich State.

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

Pitt as they are not finishing with a 9-3 record and a tier one bowl.

Huh?

 

[jtownknowitall]

NYC is an attractive destination in my book.

It is. In May.

 

[gbgpanther]

It is. In May.

Wake Forest ( sos) of schedule is 76 out of 123 teams. The schedule has helped them

 

[DiehardPanther]

I think Pitt needs to go 9-3 to win get a Tier 1 Bowl because, as we now know, there is no "within 1 win rule" and at 8-4, there wont be enough distance between them and attractive 6-6 teams like VT, FSU, UNC, and NC State. So, if we win out, here's what I think the bowl situation looks like:

CFP: Clemson

Orange: Wake Forest

Camping World: Notre Dame

Music City: UVa
Belk: Miami
Pinstripe: Pitt
Sun: Louisville

If Pitt wins out, I think VT goes 6-6 losing to Wake, Pitt, and UVa to knock them down a peg.

My Preferences in Order
1) Orange
2) Camping World
3) Music City
4) Annapolis
5) NYC

 

[BFo8]

My Preferences in Order
1) Orange
2) Camping World
3) Music City
4) Annapolis
5) NYC

I am in 100% agreement, especially as NYC is the only one I’m pretty sure I can’t get to.

 

[Slick Manager of Champs]

My Preferences in Order
1) Orange
2) Camping World
3) Music City
4) Annapolis
5) NYC

agree, but 1 & 2 aren't looking good so hoping for Music City for something different

 

[The_Unit]

If it’s OSU maybe, a 1 loss PSU with their schedule has only one path to get in and that’s win them all. If they lose to Ohio St they have no realistic chance to get in.

With their schedule??? PSU currently has the #7 strength of schedule. That will likely go up before the year is over. For reference, OSU is #3 SOS.

https://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/ranking/schedule-strength-by-other

 

[BFo8]

With their schedule??? PSU currently has the #7 strength of schedule. That will likely go up before the year is over. For reference, OSU is #3 SOS.

https://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/ranking/schedule-strength-by-other

Right, and if they lose the OSU game they have zero chance of getting in. 0.0, nil.

They will own a nice win against Michigan, and a couple so so wins over 3 loss Iowa and Minnesota teams.

Not nearly enough, they have to beat OSU.

 

[JohnnyGossamer]

Oregon at 12-1 owns a blowout loss to a what may end up being a 4 loss Auburn team and Utah lost to USC. The OSU/PSU loser may get in over the Pac 12 champ.

Blowout? Didn't they blow a lead late and lose in last seconds of that game?

 

[Weavedog469]

And as usual with SMF much of this thread has nothing to do with Pitt as they are not finishing with a 9-3 record and a tier one bowl.

In fact , I think the Pinstripe may be a done deal with Mich State. Certainly, heather has been working the phones.

I'm cool with NYC and Mich State.

Pitt-Michigan State could be a 3-0 game. Us with a field goal on the opening drive and nothing else

 

[BFo8]

Blowout? Didn't they blow a lead late and lose in last seconds of that game?

Unbelievable that I missed this. Tough to call it a blowout when Auburn took their first lead with a few seconds left in the game. Was another Cristobal special as his clock management down the stretch was lousy.

 

[chirurgo]

Blowout? Didn't they blow a lead late and lose in last seconds of that game?

don't count out Pac-12. There's a chance for an 11-1 conference champion. I don't think an extra SEC team would trump that.

Don’t the PAC 12 and Big 10 champs go to the Rose Bowl if not in the CFP?

 

[pitt-girl]

Notre dame will be in orange vs another ACC team.

Is that true? I thought ND could not supplant an ACC team.

Whoops - sorry. Reading comprehension fail. LOL.

 

[chirurgo]

I really have no interest anymore in any lower tier bowl games. I appreciate that the team uses a bowl appearance as additional time to practice and play, but anything below the Camping World game is really nothing more to me than an opportunity to watch the game on TV. I have 0 interest in any of the bowl cities including NYC.

 

[chirurgo]

Is that true? I thought ND could not supplant an ACC team.

They wouldn’t supplant. They would play against an ACC team. Before the Miami loss, Pitt was projected to play ND in the Orange bowl by SI.

 

[Slick Manager of Champs]

I really have no interest anymore in any lower tier bowl games. I appreciate that the team uses a bowl appearance as additional time to practice and play, but anything below the Camping World game is really nothing more to me than an opportunity to watch the game on TV. I have 0 interest in any of the bowl cities including NYC.

Nashville would be a nice trip

 

[pitt-girl]

They wouldn’t supplant. They would play against an ACC team. Before the Miami loss, Pitt was projected to play ND in the Orange bowl by SI.

Yes - I had previously corrected my post.

 

[chirurgo]

Nashville would be a nice trip

I have heard the city is pretty vibrant, but I can’t stand country music.

 

[pittdan77]

My Preferences in Order
1) Orange
2) Camping World
3) Music City
4) Annapolis
5) NYC

I'm sure you meant CFP first, then that list.

 

[TIGER-PAUL]

https://www.newsobserver.com/sports/college/acc/nc-state/article236990694.html

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

https://www.newsobserver.com/sports/college/acc/nc-state/article236990694.html

3 things:

I thought we learned last year there is no "2 win rule" and the Championship game loser is not guaranteed Tier 1 although the league works strongly on their behalf to make sure they dont fall to Tier 2. And why wouldnt Notre Dame go to the Camping World Bowl if they arent a New Year's 6 at-large?

Right now, I think the Pinstripe is a pretty safe bet.

 

[H2P 2003]

3 things:

I thought we learned last year there is no "2 win rule" and the Championship game loser is not guaranteed Tier 1 although the league works strongly on their behalf to make sure they dont fall to Tier 2. And why wouldnt Notre Dame go to the Camping World Bowl if they arent a New Year's 6 at-large?

Right now, I think the Pinstripe is a pretty safe bet.

Can you explain how the Oregon/auburn game was a blowout?

 

[9nationalchampionships]

If we win out the Camping or Music City Bowl makes sense. If we go 2-1 then the Pinstripe makes sense.

 

[Pitt79]

I have heard the city is pretty vibrant, but I can’t stand country music.

It's a great place to visit, I went to a Steelers game once on TNF there and stayed until Sunday, go down the main drag and there are multiple bars with live music and no cover, it's not all stereotypical country music either, I saw some bands doing more of the country rock etc. It's a fun place to hang out.

 

[Pitt79]

VT CANNOT go to bowl at 6-6, they played 2 FCS teams and can only count 1 towards bowl eligibility. To be bowl eligible, VT has to go 7-5.

Unless it's one of those years when they have to take 5-7 teams because there aren't enough 6-6 or better.

 

[pitt-girl]

I have heard the city is pretty vibrant, but I can’t stand country music.

Funny story - our oldest is planning a bachelors party for a good friend in Nashville. Someone told him that they were surprised since Nashville is more of a bachelorette destination. Our son replied "Exactly".

 

[Pitt79]

Funny story - our oldest is planning a bachelors party for a good friend in Nashville. Someone told him that they were surprised since Nashville is more of a bachelorette destination. Our son replied "Exactly".

I've heard of that? NFL draft day, the bachelorettes where complaining that the place was overrun with NFL fans. But when I went there I thought it was great. The music was awesome, of course I knew these two guys from my home town who where guitarists in a band down there, and we went and saw them play, they where more into classic rock, but they also played country rock and made a part of their living from Nashville bar gigs.

 

[ThePanthers]

Oregon at 12-1 owns a blowout loss to a what may end up being a 4 loss Auburn team and Utah lost to USC. The OSU/PSU loser may get in over the Pac 12 champ.

They werent blown out. Auburn took the lead on a td with a few seconds left.