(Long read) Hypothetically speaking, because there’s still a lot of football to go and there’s no guarantee we fire Narduzzi even if he goes 2-10 or 3-9.
We need to hire the offensive-minded coach to be our next head coach. Statistically, this is the correct decision.
- In the last 10 years, 63% of the teams in the final BCS/CFP ranking have been led by a offensive-minded coach. Also, 69% of the top ten teams in that span are led by offensive coaches.
- That trend has become clearer in the past five years. 71% and 72% of schools appearing in the top 25 and 10 since 2013 are led by offensive coaches.
- Additionally, albeit a much slighter margin, the majority of G5 schools in the final rankings have been led by offensive minded coaches in the past five years. Why is this relevant? It shows that these coaches are able to have immediate success at a school not traditionally known for it. Since the CFP started, every G5 representative in a NY6 bowl has been led by an offensive coach.
Now, from what I’ve read on here, a lot of us agree with this. Question is, who do you go after? My favorite is Ryan Day. Not only because of the success he had as the interim HC and the fact that he’s a great recruiter, but he closely resembles the career paths of the top three coaches in college football today, Meyer, Swinney and Saban. All were 40 or under 40 when they were hired and all had at least 15 years of prior coaching experience before they took their first HC job. They also had, on average, two years of coordinator experience. That’s interesting because we think of some top-tier assistant candidate as having way more than that. Day is 40 and actually has 5 years of coordinator experience, along with 16 years of coaching experience. He matches that career mold perfectly.
Now, it’s unlikely he comes here since there’s reports that he’s the coach-in-waiting at Ohio State. Who’re some other possible candidates that might fit this description? Tony Elliot is a name I like from Clemson. Currently 39 years and has 4 years of coordinator experience despite only 12 years of prior coaching experience (entered coaching a bit later than most.) He’s also an execellent recruiter, but does not have prior head coaching experience.
What’s also interesting is that both of them coach under the three top coaches mentioned.
One more I like is Neal Brown. He’s 38 years old (actually 35 when he got the Troy job), 11 prior years of coaching experience before his first HC job along with 7 years of coordinator experience. He has a few signature wins (#25 LSU, Nebraska), and came just short in a few others vs P5 opponents. 28-14 record with two conference championships under his (Sun) belt. I think Brown is going to get a P5 job very soon and be very successful. We’d hit a home run if we hire him.
That’s all I have for now. Thoughts on this?