2 days out from this big dual, they are in a bit of a down year with the RS and no Hidlays left.
Preview:
125: Babin vs Robinson
Robinson may be the best 125 in the country this year. His only loss is by MFF and he has a 69% bonus rate this year. He has scored under 10 points only three times this entire season. Babin will need to slow him down as much in possible in neutral and has to get on top to have a chance in this one. NCST FAVORED
133: Chappell? vs Orine
Assuming Vinnie is still out, we likely have a 125 bumping up to 133 in this one, to take on a returning AA who spent half the season at 141 this year. This is a match where I would consider it a victory if Vinnie held it to a decision, with a backup going I hope we just can hold it to 4 or 5 and not 6. NCST FAVORED
141: Ant vs. Tracy
Tracy spent most of the season up at 149 and is 1-3 since coming down to 141. He has faced good competition and I would not be surprised if he kept it close but this is really a match Santaniello needs to win if he has any goals of qualifying for NCAAs. I think he is also the better wrestler and should get this one done. PITT FAVORED
149: Solomon vs Buesgens
Buesgens is an good wrestler who had a really nice HS career. He is 14-7 on the season so he has done pretty well in his first season as a starter. Him and Finn have a very similar level in terms of who they have lost to. However I would say Finn has a few less questionable losses and some more emphatic wins. I think Finn should look to come out and get a nice win against his former team and keep establishing himself as a surefire NCAA qualifier. PITT FAVORED
157: Evans vs Scott
Scott is a former AA who is incredibly up and down. He likes big moves and to get into big exchanges. Evans is an interesting matchup for him as his fundamental style contrasts. Scott is the more proven of the two and I will favor him, but I do think Evans has a real path to victory if he weathers the storm, pushes the pace, and stays out of crazy spots. NCST FAVORED
First Half: 2 Pitt Favored, 0 Toss Up, 3 NCST Favored
165: Keslar vs Fields
Fields had a very good season last year but has seemingly taken a step back in this one. Fields is 10-8 on the season, but started the season 7-0. Meaning he is on a 3 and 8 stretch currently. All of the losses have been to legit NCAA qualifier types, but this downward trend for a wrestler is never a good thing. Keslar is coming off his best performance of the season and could potentially snowball that momentum. Fields beat Holden twice last season but I do not think that he is at the same level this year and Keslar could take this one from him. TOSS UP
174: Augustine vs Singleton
Singleton had a rougher start to the year but has really picked up steam as the year has gone on. These two have very close mutual results this season and like most Luca matches I feel the only option is to call it 50/50. TOSS UP
184: Heller vs Fishback
These two split last year and Heller won the first round this season. Heller is 14-0 outside of his one day at Rider where he went 0-3. Fishback is 8-4 with 2 losses at Journeyman and 2 in duals. He has lost to all legit AA contenders but he has also not beaten any real established nationally ranked starters this year. Based on how the year has gone and their history I think this comes down to 1 or 2 exchanges. TOSS UP
197: Stout vs Knop
Knop is pretty solid at 8-4 on the year, but Stout has not lost since November and has looked rather dominant in that time frame. I would expect Stout to win this one and potentially catch up some bonus. PITT FAVORED
285: Trumble is 15-3 on the year. With 1 loss coming to Schultz which he avenged and the other two coming to Hendrickson. Pitzer could beat Trumble, but based on the results so far this season Trumble has been far more impressive and I expect his impressive run can continue in this one. NCST FAVORED
2nd half: 1 Pitt Favored, 3 Toss Up, 1 NCST Favored
Overall: 3 Pitt Favored, 3 Toss Up, 4 NCST Favored
This is a dual where 165-184 and the bonus potential will be everything. NCST has the chance to blow Pitt out if the plausible upsets at 141 and 149 happen. If Pitt wins the three matches it should and 3 others through toss-ups or upset there is a real shot that we take this dual and put ourselves in contention for the ACC dual meet crown this year.