Other draws:
Nino's draw is my favorite. R1 opponent from Stanford has no top 50 wins, NB has beat up on Aiello twice this year, and like folks have said the matchup with Norfleet could favor Nino. If he were to fall to Norfleet, his blood round match would most likely be against former #1 Noah Adams, or Buchanan from Wyoming if Adams is able to finally beat Buchanan.
But we stay away from Warner, Amine, Ferrari, Sloan--this is a great draw. I'm not saying he will be a finalist, but all four matches standing in his way (Stemmet, then probably Aiello, then Norfleet/Bulsak, then probably Schultz) are all winnable. I have Nino falling to Schultz, Ferrari and Amine and placing sixth.
I do not love Jake's draw. O'Toole is probably the biggest wild card in the whole event. No one knows if he's going to win a natty or go 1-2. We will know a LOT more about him after his R2 match with Monday or Amine. I think Monday wins there, which might be advantageous for Jake because KOT would face two polar opposite wrestlers in back-to-back rounds. Also, Jake's possible R2 opponent Peyton Robb is wrestling well. He went 3-2 at Big 10s with a couple upsets. No idea who will come out of the bottom quarter opposite Jake and O'Toole. Could be any of E. Smith, Wittlake, Braunagel or Valencia. They're all pretty even. After R1 nothing is going to be easy for Jake but he's proven he's capable of knocking off anyone in the field.
Cole's path to AA only exists if he beats multiple guys ranked in the 6-15 range. Parker, Demas, Simon, Sherman, Red, Hart--he'd probably have to beat one of those guys to reach the blood round and one more to AA. I'll be pulling for him.
Looking on the bright side for Gregg, Lou DePrez hasn't faced a top 20 opponent in over a year so there's a small chance there. If Gregg shows up with the same form as he did at ACCs, he'll be peaking at the right time. Assuming a first-round loss though, he then pigtail against the 32/33 loser to reach the first round of wrestlebacks. He would then face the 14 from Campbell or the 19 from Illinois, then the 13 or 20 if he won again. I think that's a solid chance to go 2-2, including the pigtail.