P5 Commissioners: won't play without fans
- Thread starter Sean Miller Fan
- Start date
Yes. The influential model the WH uses (UW) factored in 50% social distancing compliance. They say it has been 90% which I agree with. I would say 9/10 people have been following the guidelines. I
That’s not really an applicable analogy. People will accept risk in their everyday lives in order to do the things they need to do and the things they enjoy. I will accept a level of risk to go to restaurants, sporting events, vacations, etc. I’m not going to accept risk to run across a football field
It s a fact. We don't know how many have had the virus and how many have recovered. If you know, please prove me wrong and give us the numbers...
So because the WH uses a "model" means that it's accurate? Like all the other models? How gullible....
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvss/vsrg/vsrg03-508.pdf
truthfully -
The mortality rate is actually likely under reported
I think you're missing my point.... We don't know how many have already been infected and recovered from the virus. We only know who has been infected and based on that number we are comparing it to the number of deaths.
Its pretty accurate, dude. They first said 93K dead. Its been 41K already. We might surpass 93K so maybe they underestimated it?
Do you believe in anything/anyone or is everything just one big conspiracy or a bunch of misinformation for some nefarious purpose?
That probably comes across as wise ass/snarky but I’m actually serious.
Fox News is correct. Everything else is not. People actually do believe this.
Yes. But they have to have a track record for accuracy. Is being right once too much to ask? Right now, it's like listening to the weatherman...
They said up to 240,000 dead in the U.S. alone by end of April...
https://www.forbes.com/sites/joshua...eaths-hinges-on-key-assumptions/#2da27403144e
What does "up to" mean?
And that model was never just making April predictions? It goes to mid-August. That was 93K dead by August and that may happen.
Fair enough. But like I said earlier models for anything - not just covid - can be fluid.
I can’t say 240k is or was accurate. But I’m sure social distancing and other mitigation reduces the numbers.
I know how much you want to be correct, so good luck...
https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...ns-thousands-fewer-covid-19-deaths-by-summer/
It was also message control from politicians
So if “only “ 80-100k die- look how great we did!
No doubt that it has some effect. However, the number of fatalities has been overstated as well.
I have no doubt. I maintain a healthy dose of skepticism at most times so I’m certainly not critical of others who are skeptical. But sometimes skepticism leads to total kooks like QAnon. And I’m not suggesting anyone here was going that route FTR.
