Pitt Metrics 2/28

[Pitt666]

Net 49 (down 2)
Torvik 55 (went up)
Ken Pom 54

Remaining w/lines per Torvik
@BC 88 (toss up, 0.0)
91 FSU (Pitt -6)
77 NCST (Pitt -6)

Others of interest
WVU 147 (135 is Q2)
GT 137 (135 is Q2)
PFW 156 (160 is Q4)
Mizz 150 (160 is Q4)

18-10 overall
9-8 conference
6-4 Road
1-1 Neutral
3-6 Q1
2-2 Q2
6-2 Q3
7-0 Q4

If they win out and 2 games in tourney it would put them at 7-4 road and 3-2 neutral sites. GT moving up would help as would WVU. Mizz really needs to win one…

Wakes loss to ND may open up path to 5 seed? Not sure what tiebreaker would be if both end up 12-8 since they split head to head.

 

[Blair_45]

Yea I mean the loss at Clemson last night definitely made it extremely tough to get in the tournament now but I still don’t think Pitt’s chances of making it are completely dead in the water just yet. Win these last 3 games which is definitely doable and win 2 games in the ACC Tourney and that should be enough to get in at 23-11. It won’t be easy but it’s not completely impossible either.

 

[Pitt666]

Yea I mean the loss at Clemson last night definitely made it extremely tough to get in the tournament now but I still don’t think Pitt’s chances of making it are completely dead in the water just yet. Win these last 3 games which is definitely doable and win 2 games in the ACC Tourney and that should be enough to get in at 23-11. It won’t be easy but it’s not completely impossible either.

Yep. A little luck could take them from 3-6 and 2-2 to 3-6 and 4-2 in Q1 and Q2 pre tourney if WVU and GT move up. The ACC tourney games should be at least Q2 and Q1 on neutral site.

 

[AllegeneeGenacGenac]

I think our best path forward is to get UVA in our second ACC tourney game and beat them again, since that very well could be a play-in game for the NCAA tournament.

UVA, Clemson, Wake, and Syracuse are all projected to lose 1 more game, and we're not (BC is basically a toss-up, with us now projected to win by 1). If that holds, Clemson, Wake, and Pitt all finish 12-8 with UVA at 13-7 and Cuse at 11-9.

I assume they create a mini-conference of the 3 tied teams, and we have the worst record of the 3 and will end up as the 6 seed with UVA at 3.

Beating any of those teams would be great, but UVA would be the best matchup.

 

[Pitt666]

We need to get UVA in our second ACC tourney game and beat them again, since that very well could be a play-in game for the NCAA tournament.

UVA, Clemson, Wake, and Syracuse are all projected to lose 1 more game, and we're not (BC is basically a toss-up, with us now projected to win by 1). If that holds, Clemson, Wake, and Pitt all finish 12-8 with UVA at 13-7 and Cuse at 11-9.

I assume they create a mini-conference of the 3 tied teams, and we have the worst record of the 3 and will end up as the 6 seed with UVA at 3.

Per tiebreaker, it would be the combined record versus the tied teams. Pitt would be 1-3 vs wake and Clemson. Wake and Clemson would both have at least 2 wins regardless of their final game against each other.

 

[RoosterJones2]

Net 49 (down 2)
Torvik 55 (went up)
Ken Pom 54

Remaining w/lines per Torvik
@BC 88 (toss up, 0.0)
91 FSU (Pitt -6)
77 NCST (Pitt -6)

Others of interest
WVU 147 (135 is Q2)
GT 137 (135 is Q2)
PFW 156 (160 is Q4)
Mizz 150 (160 is Q4)

18-10 overall
9-8 conference
6-4 Road
1-1 Neutral
3-6 Q1
2-2 Q2
6-2 Q3
7-0 Q4

If they win out and 2 games in tourney it would put them at 7-4 road and 3-2 neutral sites. GT moving up would help as would WVU. Mizz really needs to win one…

Wakes loss to ND may open up path to 5 seed? Not sure what tiebreaker would be if both end up 12-8 since they split head to head.

Torvik tourny simulator has us in if we win the last 3 and one ACC tournament game.

 

[AllegeneeGenacGenac]

Torvik tourny simulator has us in if we win the last 3 and one ACC tournament game.

So basically we need to meet expectations, which was already the case before last night.

 

[Pitt666]

So basically we need to meet expectations, which was already the case before last night.

Yes. Aside from a win, the next best outcome last night was not getting blown out and they technically covered the spread.

 

[Parkview57]

Aside from a win, the next best outcome last night was not getting blown out and they technically covered the spread

Agreed, It was not a bad loss in general. They beat the spread and the game was closer than the final score. On the road in conference at this time of year is tough in most instances. The problem with this team is simply the growing pains experienced earlier with two really good freshmen as important cogs in the wheel.

 

[PittMBA]

Net 49 (down 2)
Torvik 55 (went up)
Ken Pom 54

Remaining w/lines per Torvik
@BC 88 (toss up, 0.0)
91 FSU (Pitt -6)
77 NCST (Pitt -6)

Others of interest
WVU 147 (135 is Q2)
GT 137 (135 is Q2)
PFW 156 (160 is Q4)
Mizz 150 (160 is Q4)

18-10 overall
9-8 conference
6-4 Road
1-1 Neutral
3-6 Q1
2-2 Q2
6-2 Q3
7-0 Q4

If they win out and 2 games in tourney it would put them at 7-4 road and 3-2 neutral sites. GT moving up would help as would WVU. Mizz really needs to win one…

Wakes loss to ND may open up path to 5 seed? Not sure what tiebreaker would be if both end up 12-8 since they split head to head.

Our BPI jumped up 3 spots too. BPI is part of the team sheets used by the selection committee.

If we win out, our metrics look very tournament worthy.