If Pitt goes 8-4, it would be almost impossible for us to NOT get a Tier 1 Bowl.
CFP: Clemson
Orange: Louisville
Citrus: FSU
Russell Athletic: VT
Tier 1
UNC and 3 more
If Pitt is 8-4, a 6-6 team cant jump us. NCSU travels very well and would definitely bump us if they could but they have 5 losses and have Miami at home and at UNC so getting more than 1 win for them is unlikely.
Miami and GT can finish with 7 or 8 wins and get Tier 1. However, GT doesn't travel and I dont think they'd bump us, especially for the Sun since they were there a few years ago. Also, the Sun took Miami last year and wouldn't take them back to back.
Wake probably gets to 7 wins and could jump an 8-4 Pitt team. I guess the Belk would take them but they would want UNC first and Wake wouldn't be attractive to any other bowl.
In a nutshell, root for NCSU to lose 1 more and root for GT to lose their last 2 (vs UVa, at UGa) and Wake to lose to BC just to be sure. BC could get to 6-6 if they beat UConn and Wake.
CFP: Clemson
Orange: Louisville
Citrus: FSU
Russell Athletic: VT
Tier 1
UNC and 3 more
If Pitt is 8-4, a 6-6 team cant jump us. NCSU travels very well and would definitely bump us if they could but they have 5 losses and have Miami at home and at UNC so getting more than 1 win for them is unlikely.
Miami and GT can finish with 7 or 8 wins and get Tier 1. However, GT doesn't travel and I dont think they'd bump us, especially for the Sun since they were there a few years ago. Also, the Sun took Miami last year and wouldn't take them back to back.
Wake probably gets to 7 wins and could jump an 8-4 Pitt team. I guess the Belk would take them but they would want UNC first and Wake wouldn't be attractive to any other bowl.
In a nutshell, root for NCSU to lose 1 more and root for GT to lose their last 2 (vs UVa, at UGa) and Wake to lose to BC just to be sure. BC could get to 6-6 if they beat UConn and Wake.