I was looking at it more from a "4 star on at least one site" perspective. If you go by that, it adds a lot more guys to the mix: Ruben Flowers, Thomas MacVittie, Davis Beville, and quite a few more. But here is the Composite 4-star list:
Chris Clark - bust
Whitehead - hit
Hall - hit, but not to a 4-star extent
Hamlin - hit
Camp - hit, but not to 4-star extent (injuries contributed to that)
Ford - hit, but I think I saw a flag for targeting
Sibley - bust
Reeves - bust
AJ Davis - bust
Salahuddin - bust
Addison - hit
Hayes - hit, but not to 4-star extent
Donald - bust
Brown - bust
Johnson - bust
Baer - TBD
Bass - TBD
So still not too great.
but that’s because most of them didn’t have a great ranking.
Stars don’t matter per se. They only matter to the extent that they are a shortcut for us to talk about talent acquisition.
A 4* on 247 is anybody from a .9832 to a .8901.
But from a can’t miss perspective, the .9832 4* is closer to the .9837 5* than he is the .8901 4*. I would say 8901 and .9832 recruits have nothing in common. They are completely different animals, forced in the same 4* cage together.
Narduzzi hasn’t really had a 4* hit rate problem, when you look at the ones with a legit 4* ranking. It’s that most of his 4* players have been closer to the .8901 quality than the .9832 quality. They might as well be 3*.
Looking at his 4* recruiting:
Hamlin had a .9327 ranking. So closer to a legit 4* ranking than many. Although still not closer to a 5* than 3*. He was a hit.
Paris Ford 96 rating, so closer to 5* than 3*, and he was a hit.
Salahuddin 93 rating and a miss.
Addison 94 rating and a hit.
Israel had a 93 and was a hit.
Dayton Hayes was a 93 and a hit.
Donald 94 and a bust
Bass a 93 and looking promising I think
That’s it. Those are the only players on 247 during Narduzzi that had a player quality rating of 93+, so gave them a little 4* breathing room.
That’s a pretty good hit rate.
If you have a very low 4* rating, it doesn’t matter which site gave it to you. Your chances of hitting are still small, because you’re a photo finish away from being a 3*.
Most of the busts fall into that category, so of course they have something closer to 3* miss rate.