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ACC Tournament Update

My original predictions: Still "alive" for the finals ... will be interesting to see how the bids to the NCAAT flesh out after Saturday's finals. Wouldn't it be something if Clemson turns out to be the bid stealer??

Thursday Games:

Miami over WF - check
Dook over Pitt - check
BC over VA - big fail
Clemson over NC St - check

Semi-Finals:

Dook over Miami
Clemson over BC

FINAL:
Dook over Clemson

NCAA teams from ACC:

Duke
Miami
Clemson
Virginia
NC State
Pitt
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If you could raid another ACC team's roster for transfers

Who would you take?

For the purposes of this post, only the following teams are eligible (due to coach changes or possible transfers due to too much losing)

Louisville
GT
ND
Syracuse

Its amazing how much talent these teams have when you think about it.

1. Jesse Edwards
2. El Ellis
3. Javon Kelly (if we dont get Jesse Edwards)
4. Miles Kelly
5. JJ Starling
6. Ven Allen Lubin
7. Joe Girard

I wouldn't take Judah Mintz unless Dior left. I would fear a Xavier/Trey situation. And I probably wouldn't take Judah at all.
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NC State vs Clemson: Resumes

Just wondering on this one.

How is NC State ahead of Clemson in many of these seed & bracket projections?

Clemson beat NC State 3 times by scores of 14, 25, and 26. They finished 2 games ahead of them in the ACC standings. They both will have 10 losses, if Clemson loses tonight, and Clemson beat Penn St in the non-conference, and NC State beat Vanderbilt. Those are the only notable non-conference wins for either team that I can see.

Lunardi: 3rd to last team in


Surprised he has NC State so safely in and Clemson out. I think right now, after some results last night, we are in but a lot of these teams are still playing and there's still bid stealers left.

Good to hear Bilas criticizing the NET rankings....

Specifically when he said "whatever a Quad 1 actually means". (Or something to that effect.)

Hoping they get rid of that metric going forward. My biggest question has been when do those rankings "begin" and what is its initial population based on?

Cause it feels a lot like preseason football rankings that create an artificial landscape and unfairly judge teams from different conferences. But maybe the NET doesn't start until league play in December?

Dayton/First Four would NOT be a bad thing. Here's why.

History of Overperforming Seeds

Dayton is not a death sentence for the non-16 seeds that end up there. There is a long history of teams playing in first four games since the field expanded to 68 completing first round upsets, and even advancing far beyond expectations:
  • 2011- #11 VCU made to the final four.
  • 2012- #12 USF upset #5 Temple.
  • 2013- #13 La Salle made it to the S16.
  • 2014- #11 Tennessee made it to the S16.
  • 2015- #11 Dayton upset #6 Providence.
  • 2016- #11 Wichita St. upset #6 Arizona.
  • 2017- #11 USC upset #6 SMU.
  • 2018- #11 Syracuse made it to the S16.
  • 2019- The only year there were no upsets.
  • 2021- #11 UCLA made it to the final four.
  • 2022- #11 Notre Dame upset #6 Alabama.
Teams clearly use the momentum provided from winning here as a jumping off point for the first weekend. No reason Pitt can't be one of those teams, if they were to get sent here.

Media Attention

Pitt would get the full singular attention playing in the first four, instead of getting swallowed up in coverage being thrown on say TruTV against a B10 team in Denver or Des Moines with 3 other games going on. This board is so concerned with media coverage all the time... Well here's a chance to show folks you belong on center stage with everyone watching, including future recruits.

Location

Dayton ain't that far folks. Do you want to support the team? Drive to Dayton (if you can get off work). For those of us who like Pitt road trips, this is great. Pitt, even in our good years, often ended up in the strangest locations, often west coast. I'll take this.

An Extra Game? Pitt will be Tired!

Well, we didn't exactly make a deep run in the ACC tourney, so any arguments for having to play an extra game would be silly, especially when compared to most teams that have played 3/4/5 games in the span of a week. And again, teams do pretty well that get sent here when it's all said and done.

Fans going back to the 80s, a question…

Is this the first time you will be watching the Selection Show genuinely nervous about whether or not the team will be selected?

As a Pitt fan of nearly 40 years I believe this is indeed the first time that us Panthers fans will be watching the Selection Show gritting our teeth.

Yes there have been a number of years when Pitt has been seeded 8, 9 or 10 (1989, 1993, 2005, 2013, 2014, 2016 come to mind), but the team was never truly in danger of missing those tournaments in my mind.

Thankfully, most of the years Pitt has been in the tourney we have only been stressing about seeding.

Any recollections to the contrary?

Six "bid stealer" possibilities left

Listed in order of likelihood. My guesstimate as to the chances in parentheses.

1. North Texas/UAB (30%)
- Both are pretty good teams. If either of these beats FAU, they'll steal a bid.

2. San Jose State (20%)
- Would have to beat:
San Diego State
Boise State/Utah State

3. Oregon (10%)
- Would have to beat:
UCLA
Arizona/ASU

4. Vanderbilt (3%)
- Would have to beat:
Kentucky
Texas A&M/Arkansas
Alabama/Tennessee/Missouri/Mississippi State

5. Ohio State (3%)
- Would have to beat:
Michigan State
Purdue/Rutgers
Indiana/MD/NW/PSU

6. Someone other than Houston or Memphis in the AAC (3%)
It would be a monumental upset for UCF, Temple, Cincinnati, Wichita State, Tulane, or East Carolina to win this conference.
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