Of the thirteen 4/5* guys in that QB class, 10 are projected starters for their school. One transferred and is starting for the new school and one transferred and is 2nd on the depth chart, and one is in the portal. 11 of those schools are predicted to have good records this year.
I'd say 247 nailed it.
And 2020 is much of the same.
1. Bryce Young: Bama Starter
2. D.J. Uiagalelei: Clemson Starter
3. CJ Stroud: Ohio State starter
4. Card: In battle to be Texas starter, but Thompson is more experienced and really flashed last year.
5. Jackson: Went from Texas to Utah after Card and Thompson passed him. Probably going to have to wait behind Brewer from Baylor this season.
6. Doty: Started as FR for USC, going to be the starter this year.
7. Bailey: Started 3 games as true for Tenn
8. Garbers: Was beat out by Morris, who is very good. Went to UCLA, will probably sit behind DTR.
9. King: Looks to be starter for A&M this year
10. Butterfield: Don’t know anything about him, BC transfer is probably going to start.
11. Illingworth: Don’t know, OSU has their stud QB lined up for years to come as starter, and OSU takes don’t really dominate the Twitter timeline.
12. Prater: Starter at UC. Stud.
13. Purdy: Played for FSU as true last year, going to sit behind McKenzie this year. Looked alright I guess.
14. Hornsby: Expected to lose the job to the other dude Ark fans are hyping up. His name escapes me.
15. Richardson: In QB battle at UF with JOnes. Jones is expected to win it due to experience. But UF fans think Richardson has looked very good.
16. Van Dyke: Sitting behind King, but is being hyped up as the heir apparent stud for next year.
17. Sims: Started for GT as true and played fairly well considerIng.
18. Pyne: I think the Wisky transfer is expected to win the job, but Pyne was their number 2 behind Ian Book last year as a true.
19. Beck: UGA fans think he is already a bust and needs to go to the portal.
20. Johnson: Started for LSU last year as a true and looked pretty good.
Those are the Top 20 QB recruits in 2020 (all had 4* next to their name). Some are going to suck. But already a bunch have a lot of hype around them, and some have already flashed on the field. Certainly doesn’t look like a huge bust % amongst them.