I get all that you’re saying here and that was definitely a very good road win but as far as the NET calc, it’s oblivious to the fact UVA was one of the hottest teams in the country and had a 23-game win streak.
We better be in if this is the scenario.
UVA reminds me of one of the classic Dixon teams (aside from 2009 and ‘11). Excellent defensive team and impossible to beat if they are controlling the game flow, but unable to match a hot shooting team shot for shot.
Agree. UVA is fundamentally as good as it gets at both ends. When they have that special scorer or two and a great PG to go with their usual personnel mixture, they are FF contenders. When they don't, they are what they are this year--still very good, still going to win a lot, but they are vulnerable to athletic teams that have a good shooting night.
I think 5-2 I like my chances. So long as we don’t lose a Q4. And they win one ACCT game.
I fear Pitt beating Wake three times and Wake getting in. A la NCST over Clemson last year…I don’t think that happens, but… It helps to have national support and Vitale and Rothstein highlighting Pitts win last night helps.
I mean they have 3 quality wins right now (@duke, @uva, wake). 7-3 road/neutral. OOC sos in the 300s will need to be overcome. Mizz loss in December won’t be awful as long as they continue to get hot. The rest of the bubble has more Q1 wins right now and less Q3 losses. Pitt still has a lot of work to do and could use some help (GT, Cuse, and Mizz winning). But not impossible. Once the teams above them start to trend back, Pitt will continue to rise, but based on net and current resumes, they are still a few wins away from being in the conversation. Beat Wake and they are in the first four/next four out group. If they stay hot, I think they can avoid Dayton. It may be controversial, but the committee wants tv ratings and Hinson and future NBa pick Bub can provide that.
| DATE | OPPONENT | H/A/N | NET Ranking | Quadrant | RESULT | Conference | W | L |
| Mon, Nov 6 | North Carolina A&T | H | 339 | 4 | W100-52 | CAA | 1 | 0 |
| Fri, Nov 10 | Binghamton | H | 278 | 4 | W89-60 | America East | 2 | 0 |
| Mon, Nov 13 | Florida Gulf Coast | H | 259 | 4 | W86-74 | ASUN | 3 | 0 |
| Fri, Nov 17 | Jacksonville | H | 281 | 4 | W107-56 | ASUN | 4 | 0 |
| Wed, Nov 22 | Florida * | N | 33 | 1 | L86-71 | SEC | 4 | 1 |
| Fri Nov 24 | Oregon St | N | 170 | 3 | W76-51 | P12 | 5 | 1 |
| Tue, Nov 28 | Missouri | H | 153 | 3 | L71-64 | SEC | 5 | 2 |
| Sun, Dec 3 | Clemson | H | 29 | 1 | L79-70 | ACC | 5 | 3 |
| Wed, Dec 6 | West Virginia | A | 154 | 3 | W80-63 | B12 | 6 | 3 |
| Sat, Dec 9 | Canisius | H | 252 | 4 | W82-71 | MAAC | 7 | 3 |
| Sat, Dec 16 | South Carolina State | H | 304 | 4 | W86-50 | MEAC | 8 | 3 |
| Wed, Dec 20 | Purdue Fort Wayne | H | 159 | 3 | W62-48 | Horizon | 9 | 3 |
| Sat, Dec 30 | Syracuse | A | 85 | 2 | L81-73 | ACC | 9 | 4 |
| Tue, Jan 2 | North Carolina | H | 11 | 1 | L71-57 | ACC | 9 | 5 |
| Sat, Jan 6 | Louisville | A | 178 | 3 | W83-70 | ACC | 10 | 5 |
| Tue, Jan 9 | Duke | H | 16 | 1 | L75-53 | ACC | 10 | 6 |
| Tue, Jan 16 | Syracuse | H | 85 | 3 | L69-58 | ACC | 10 | 7 |
| Sat, Jan 20 | Duke | A | 16 | 1 | W80-76 | ACC | 11 | 7 |
| Tue, Jan 23 | Georgia Tech | A | 141 | 2 | W72-64 | ACC | 12 | 7 |
| Sat, Jan 27 | Miami | A | 69 | 1 | L72-68 | ACC | 12 | 8 |
| Wed, Jan 31 | Wake Forest | H | 37 | 2 | W77-72 | ACC | 13 | 8 |
| Sat, Feb 3 | Notre Dame | H | 157 | 3 | W70-60 | ACC | 14 | 8 |
| Wed, Feb 7 | NC State | A | 80 | 2 | W67-64 | ACC | 15 | 8 |
| Tue, Feb 13 | Virginia | A | 41 | 1 | W74-63 | ACC | 16 | 8 |
| Sat, Feb 17 | Louisville | H | 178 | 4 | 6:30 PM | ACC | ||
| Tue, Feb 20 | Wake Forest | A | 37 | 1 | 9:00 PM | ACC | ||
| Sat, Feb 24 | Virginia Tech | H | 63 | 2 | 5:30 PM | ACC | ||
| Tue, Feb 27 | Clemson | A | 29 | 1 | 7:00 PM | ACC | ||
| Sat, Mar 2 | Boston College | A | 90 | 2 | 6:00 PM | ACC | ||
| Tue, Mar 5 | Florida State | H | 98 | 3 | 9:00 PM | ACC | ||
| Sat, Mar 9 | NC State | H | 80 | 3 | 7:45 PM | ACC |
I don’t think we’ll be in Dayton - the predictive metrics are good enough (especially compared to last year, because the predictive metrics never liked last year’s team) that if we’re in the field, we’ll get one of the last byes. I think it’s non-Dayton or NIT.
The Duke win was a good win. UVA was a must win, and Pitt won it. Pitt can put that feather in their cap, but I don't think that win is going to carry a lot of weight. This particular UVA team doesn't have any good home wins, and they still have to play at VaTech, UNC, and Duke. VaTech is a tough place to play for UVA. Not to say they can't win there, but that's going to be very difficult. Wake at home this Saturday. Wake blew the Wahoos out in WInston-Salem a month ago.
Only in the NCAA is a loss to a team ranked 161st mathmatically equivalent to a loss to a team ranked 353rd, or that a win over a team ranked 75th is far superior to a win over one ranked 76th.
It wouldn't be a "quad" then. But I agree that there needs to be either more segments or more balance between the number of team in Q3 and Q4
Or Pitt could just avoid losing to Mizz at home like 11 SEC teams have done so far. Mizz is bad. May go 0-18. They lost to Jackson State at home and two teams above Pitt in the bubble (Memphis and Seton Hall) beat them on the road by 15 and 6, respectively.
Can you believe Ohio State is even considering hiring Sean Miller who has proven to be completely useless when he isn't paying while everyone else isn't?
True but it was November. Our rotation wasn’t even set. Jorge was playing big minutes.
Also having a few of their OOC opponents put up duds also did not help. But 4 other bubble teams did lose road games (Utah, Colorado, Memphis, NW) so not all bad.
So why did Mizz lose at home to 282 Jackson State… if it looks like a duck and quacks like a duck…. Mizz is awful. Bad loss for Pitt, but early in the season.
So Southern, the same league as Jackson State has a win at Miss State this year, which beat Mizz by 24 on the road. So highly doubt they would win the league easily.
