Would the same thing have happened this year regardless the coach (including Dixon)?
Was this going to be an 8-24 or 10-22 year not matter what?
I don't know. And I really don't waste my time dabbling in hypotheticals.
The post-Dixon transition was going to be difficult, no matter who the reigns were given to. KS was given a difficult hand to play, but in retrospect, he could have played the hand better.
He was an established coach with supposedly established recruiting ties. He could have/should have done more with his first recruiting class than simply reaffirm Jamie's offers, and needless to say, allowing one scholarship go unused. He compounded that poor decision with the forced recognition that the roster was in desperate need of complete retooling. His first class could have been the foundation of that retooling. And by failing to take advantage of that opportunity, he severely reduced his already thin margin for error. The only way he was going to make up for that mistake was by hitting it out of the park on his big class last year, but as we saw, he lost out on many recruiting battles and was left scrambling for bodies.
I don't think coming to the conclusion that a change is necessary is somehow resorting to the demands of the pitch forked masses. I think you just have to take a step back and look at the larger view of the direction of the program and see that the heavy cost associated with buying yourself out of a bad contract is less painful than two more years of questionable recruiting, double digit losses, and tumbleweeds at the Pete. Institutionally, the powers that be must view this as an incredible ROI anchor pulling down the Pitt brand and finances.