So these are careful things to watch as well. Pitt was sort of viewed as lock late last season, but their final Q1/2 got messed up due to late season changes, which ultimately led to bubble just as much as late season losses.
Similarly this year, things out of their control will also be worth watching.
Pitt needs the following to happen:
Mizz must stay above 161 in Net. They are 146 now and one SEC blowout away from causing Pitt to have a Q4 loss. Pitt has one Q4 loss last year. Not a deathblow, but let’s not have one.
Ideally Purdue FW could bump up a few spots from 166 to 160 for another Q3 win.
WVU is only 7 spots away from a Q2 road win for Pitt….Go incels?
GT needs to stay in top 135 (currently 132) for it to remain a Q2 win.
Pitt only has Q1A ops left, which is where they can really make up ground as long as wake, Virginia and Clemson stay in top 40. Right now Pitt has 1 QA1 (@duke) and 2 Q2A (Wake, @NCsT).
Some bubbles lack that Q1A, but plenty with at least 2 wins right now.
https://barttorvik.com/quadrants.php